Top ten guesses of China's construction industry i

2022-09-21
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Looking back on the top ten conjectures of China's construction industry in 2017, in 2016, the construction industry entered an era of stock competition, with a cold wind, and construction enterprises are forging ahead in the new industry ecosystem of "big break and big establishment"; Looking forward to 2017, the industry will continue to face downward pressure, and top-level scheme design, technology promotion, industry standard formulation, enterprise transformation and upgrading... Will still become hot spots

guess 1: the severe winter of the construction industry continued

the total output value of the national construction industry in the first three quarters of 2016 was 12579.2 billion yuan, an increase of only 6.7% compared with the same period last year, and the growth rate continued to slow down. The construction area of housing in the national construction industry was 10.78 billion square meters, an increase of only 1.6% year-on-year. Private capital investment fell precipitously. In July, private investment increased by only 2.9%, and once fell to 2.1% in July and August. The growth rate of the industry has slowed down, the market has changed dramatically, and migrant workers are facing unemployment; Competition among enterprises is becoming increasingly fierce, "advance", "bargain", "no bottom line commitment" and so on; Many state-owned enterprises have slow or even negative economic growth; A large number of enterprises with low market operation quality and poor internal management began to "swim naked", and the "bankruptcy tide" followed, and the construction industry will continue in winter

guess 2: infrastructure investment increases horsepower

according to the data of the Bureau of statistics, in 2016, China's cumulative investment in fixed assets was nearly 5.9 billion. According to the economic blue book released by the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, the total social investment in fixed assets in 2017 will reach 67.1 trillion yuan, an increase of 8.9% year-on-year. At the end of 2016, infrastructure construction was even more vigorous. Only between October 14 and November 14, a total of 17 transportation infrastructure construction projects were approved at the national level, with a total investment of 353.63 billion yuan. In 2017, a new round of investment across the country will be launched. Recently, various provinces and cities began to announce investment plans for 2017. Industry experts said that the growth rate of China's fixed asset investment is expected to remain at about 8% this year, and infrastructure will continue to be the main force for stable investment and growth, with the overall scale expected to be 16 trillion yuan

guess 3: PPP is still a sharp tool for infrastructure promotion

on December 26, 2016, the national development and Reform Commission and the China Securities Regulatory Commission jointly promoted the asset securitization financing scheme of PPP projects, and the PPP model was more optimized. At present, the PPP projects officially released by the Ministry of Finance and the national development and Reform Commission have exceeded 15trillion. With the continuous optimization of the PPP model and the acceleration of the implementation process, 2017 will still be a big year for the promotion of PPP. In the tide of infrastructure construction, PPP mode will still play a sharp role. For construction enterprises, in the face of the severe winter of the construction market, transformation and upgrading, becoming an important member of investment, and actively investing in the PPP "wave" to stimulate construction with investment is an important strategic choice for the survival and development of enterprises. As the government and financial institutions have a strong preference for large central enterprises and large enterprises, private enterprises have become bystanders of the PPP boom

guess 4: desalination of enterprise qualification standards

simplifying some indicators of enterprise qualification standards in the construction industry, and desalination of enterprise qualification has become an important trend of government guidance. On October 14, 2016, the Ministry of housing and urban rural development issued the notice on simplifying some indicators of the qualification standards of construction enterprises, which laid the foundation for building a market access and market supervision method based on the combination of enterprise qualification, personal practice qualification, credit archives and information disclosure. On November 24, the Ministry of housing and urban rural development issued the letter of "soliciting opinions on the cancellation of eight special engineering design qualifications", requiring the cancellation of the qualifications of construction, survey and design, and engineering supervision enterprises. Simplifying enterprise qualifications is conducive to reducing enterprise maintenance costs, forcing enterprises to implement standardized management, or ending attachment behavior. In 2017, it will still be an important work for relevant competent departments to continue to simplify enterprise qualification standards and optimize and improve the market environment of the construction industry

guess 5: replacing business tax with value-added tax forces standardized management

on February 22, 2016, the Ministry of housing and urban rural development issued the notice on making preparations for the adjustment of the pricing basis of construction projects replacing business tax with value-added tax in the construction industry, specifying that the value-added tax rate of the construction industry is proposed to be 11%. On March 18, the executive meeting of the State Council deliberated and approved the pilot plan of comprehensively promoting the replacement of business tax with value-added tax, which made it clear that from May 1, the pilot of replacing business tax with value-added tax will be fully promoted, and the construction industry, real estate industry, financial industry and life service industry will be included in the pilot scope, Yu Zhongbin said. According to the information disclosed at the media briefing on replacing business tax with value-added tax jointly held by the Ministry of Finance and the State Administration of Taxation on December 27, the four major industries had a total tax reduction of 110.5 billion yuan

replacing business tax with value-added tax involves the business model, organizational structure, bidding, procurement, contract management, financial management and other aspects of construction enterprises. The four streams of "information flow, capital flow, contract flow and logistics" have reached the extreme requirements for the refined management of enterprises, forcing construction enterprises to strengthen the refined management. "Replacing business tax with value-added tax" may even end the affiliated behavior of the construction industry. For construction enterprises, it is necessary to strengthen standardized management, improve the transparency of channels and price information such as building materials, equipment and subcontractors, and more standardize the management of enterprise suppliers and subcontractors, so as to improve management efficiency, reduce management costs, and meet the challenges brought by replacing business tax with value-added tax

conjecture 6: construction industrialization has been moving forward hard

since 2014, the development of construction industrialization has ushered in a policy honeymoon period, which has been repeatedly supported by the central and local policies. However, due to the lack of unified standards, the industrial chain has not been formed, the relevant supporting policies are not perfect, the enterprise innovation ability is insufficient, the business operation system is not strong, the cost is high, and it is unable to cope with personalized customization and large-scale project implementation, the overall scale and proportion of industrialized buildings in China are still low. At present, the proportion of prefabricated buildings in the new construction area is less than 5%, The central policy requires that the road of building industrialization to achieve the level of 20% - 30% of new buildings by 2020 is blocked and long. In winter, the national haze is rising again. As one of the industries with the greatest impact, the construction industrialization is bound to intensify its development in 2017

guess 7: the reform of state-owned enterprises continues to deepen

in 2016, state-owned enterprise reform pilots in the construction industry bloomed everywhere, China railway carried out internal restructuring, China railway construction carried out spin off listing, China Metallurgical Corporation required to improve quality and efficiency, Anhui water conservancy chose to be listed as a whole, China energy construction adopted equity incentives, and Shanghai Construction Engineering implemented employee stock ownership... In 2017, with the strong promotion of government work, the process of "state-owned enterprise reform" will continue to accelerate. With the increasingly fierce market competition, the industry has entered the downward channel, and the problem of PPP project implementation has become increasingly prominent. How long will the advantages of state-owned enterprises be maintained needs to withstand the test of time. After the reform and reorganization to the capital market, state-owned enterprises need to rely on their own strength to gain competitive advantage, and focusing on the improvement of their core competitiveness may be the way for state-owned enterprises in the construction industry to succeed

guess 8: private enterprises continue to promote transformation and upgrading

supply side reform squeezes excess capacity in the industry, and the traditional business capabilities of small and medium-sized enterprises are undergoing various tests. In addition, the market has entered the era of stock competition, the overall demand of the industry is relatively weak, and the performance of many private construction enterprises has significantly declined, stimulating the demand for transformation. In 2016, private construction enterprises faced with the extremely helpless situation of "no projects die immediately, take the project first and endure half the winter". They had to start the transformation and upgrading one after another, implement new technologies, embrace Internet +, test water PPP, and actively "go out". What's more, they joined the capital market and began to cross-border transformation. If the fixture was replaced, it would not only be difficult to maintain the consistency of the current position. In 2017, facing the cold winter, large private construction enterprises can rely on existing resources to create enterprise competitiveness integrating design, construction and operation; Medium sized private construction enterprises hope to focus on subdivisions and form differentiated competitive advantages; Micro enterprises should focus on products and value chains and work hard to improve services

guess 9: Reflection on safety accidents

the collapse accident of Jiangxi power plant caused 74 deaths and 2 injuries, "safe production" has become the focus of attention of all parties. On January 6, the State Administration of work safety issued the regulations on the implementation of the work safety law (Draft for comments), which further clarified the responsibilities of enterprises as the main body of work safety. "Behind every serious accident, there must be something. Next, let's learn about the characteristics of paying attention to details when using a cement pressure testing machine? 29 minor accidents, 300 near misses and 1000 potential accidents", which is a famous law in the field of safety production - Hain's law. The occurrence of the accident is not an accidental phenomenon. Hidden dangers from the process to the quality and then to the details of the operation continue to accumulate, forming a qualitative change one day, eventually leading to the occurrence of safety accidents. If you want to avoid or reduce the occurrence of safety accidents, plan the overall work objectives, optimize the whole work process, strictly abide by the operating procedures, increase the ability to identify risks and hidden dangers, and improve the safety assurance mechanism... None of them is missing. In 2017, the road to safety accident management is heavy and far away

guess 10: BIM changes the construction industry

bim technology has the revolutionary transformation ability to solve the management and technical problems of engineering projects. As the core big data technology in the engineering industry, BIM can truly solve the problems of big data creation, management, sharing and application of complex projects, and provide a revolutionary project management means in the three levels of data, technology and collaborative management. In particular, the combination of Bim and interconnection will facilitate the sharing, collaboration and application of massive data of large-scale projects, 3D and 4D graphics of visual projects in the wide area, which will have a significant impact on the construction industry. In the era of big data, we should improve information transparency, improve the level of refined and low-carbon management, accelerate the process of industrialization, and thus change the construction industry

especially the friendly reminder on September 29, 2014

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